Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA)

No Active Signal

Key Metrics

Current Price $462.80
Intrinsic Value $757.37
Margin of Safety 38.9%
ROIC 15.3%
Debt / Equity 0.89
Sector Consumer Cyclical

AI Analysis

Moat Assessment

Strong brand loyalty and omnichannel retail presence create competitive advantag

Red Flags

Consumer cyclical exposure with elevated leverage (D/E 0.89) and significant ope

Management Signals

Healthy FCF generation ($1.1B TTM) and retained earnings growth ($1.7B) suggest

Signal History

Date Price MoS % Conviction Signal
2026-06-09 $462.80 38.9% 7.0 STRONG VALUE - WATCH (38.9% MoS, 7/10 conviction)
2026-06-07 $467.07 27.6% WATCH (27.6%)
2026-05-30 $508.85 8.1% FAIR VALUE
2026-05-14 $492.14 11.1% FAIR VALUE
2026-04-27 $558.55 -5.6% OVERVALUED
2026-04-03 $537.39 -2.1% OVERVALUED
2026-03-22 $529.97 5.9% FAIR VALUE

Related — Consumer Cyclical

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